Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 12.535624 14.391532 16.377065 18.653540 21.185449 23.908989 27.054089
2025-08-03 9.593417 12.016678 14.792368 18.185044 22.196672 26.765099 32.335732
2025-08-10 7.826007 10.491850 13.709876 17.836645 22.940373 28.995196 36.666569
2025-08-17 6.537574 9.302135 12.794463 17.459468 23.449122 30.797644 40.401052
2025-08-24 5.560825 8.355504 12.034196 17.129977 23.891280 32.430936 43.890236
2025-08-31 4.706438 7.452955 11.212975 16.602233 23.973870 33.534983 46.675841
2025-09-07 4.201828 6.971933 10.897667 16.693763 24.831552 35.626886 50.765580
2025-09-14 3.753550 6.515791 10.562297 16.706717 25.546854 37.521286 54.626763
2025-09-21 3.416000 6.185967 10.370620 16.890543 26.481278 39.718781 58.943301
2025-09-28 3.076196 5.812004 10.073560 16.883614 27.119850 41.506947 62.734383
2025-10-05 2.877573 5.645154 10.073932 17.309011 28.388650 44.204895 67.857329
2025-10-12 2.672789 5.444195 9.999166 17.603275 29.461236 46.644635 72.676368
2025-10-19 2.448922 5.189887 9.822576 17.731952 30.298093 48.788923 77.171703
2025-10-26 2.145266 4.756495 9.311634 17.286258 30.220602 49.576801 79.717679
2025-11-02 1.897096 4.396185 8.891258 16.952235 30.285621 50.558378 82.553841
2025-11-09 1.673873 4.056244 8.475051 16.590612 30.275735 51.408405 85.199172
2025-11-16 1.482864 3.756620 8.103505 16.274754 30.312901 52.315433 87.937698
2025-11-23 1.289359 3.425867 7.643832 15.768939 30.001467 52.654512 89.802663
2025-11-30 1.187854 3.281397 7.523490 15.856657 30.680561 54.563185 94.123637
2025-12-07 1.087523 3.126558 7.369021 15.869072 31.225130 56.265981 98.160463
2025-12-14 1.013309 3.022804 7.306655 16.045254 32.054163 58.444883 102.993520
2025-12-21 0.927861 2.880708 7.153776 16.038613 32.557264 60.101182 107.032847
2025-12-28 0.887078 2.844084 7.216392 16.446375 33.807250 63.015958 113.148686